⚖ BorderlineRAFAEL
RAFAEL
Devers
Hall of Fame Probability & HOF Score
San Francisco Giants·1B·Age 29·10th Season
Last updated: May 29, 2026
HOF Score
67.7
/ 100
▲ +0 this season
SCORE Breakdown
5 DimensionsCareer Value30% weight
Milestone Progress25% weight
Awards & Selections20% weight
Peak Performance15% weight
Longevity10% weight
SCORE History
By Season1617
2718
3719
4020
4821
5322
5923
6424
6625
6826
2017HOF Score by Season2026 ★ 68
WAR BY Season
2026
53 GP
2025
73 GP
2024
138 GP
2023
153 GP
2022
141 GP
2021
156 GP
2020
57 GP
2019
156 GP
2018
121 GP
MILESTONE Tracker
40 Career WAR34 / 40
~2028 season
1,500 Hits1,265 / 1,500
~2028 season
300 Home Runs242 / 300
~2029 season
1,000 RBI772 / 1,000
~2029 season
50 Career WAR34 / 50
2031 season
2,000 Hits1,265 / 2,000
2032 season
HALL OF FAME Comparisons
At Age 29| Player | WAR | HR | AVG | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers Active · 2026 | 34.2 | 242 | .274 | 2× MVP |
Nolan Ryan HOF · At age 28 | 24.6 | 0 | — | 0× MVP |
Tony Gwynn HOF · At age 28 | 28.6 | 42 | — | 0× MVP |
Willie Mays HOF · At age 28 | 38.2 | 187 | — | 2× MVP |
Hank Aaron HOF · At age 28 | 44.2 | 179 | — | 1× MVP |
Derek Jeter HOF · At age 28 | 32.6 | 85 | — | 0× MVP |
Cal Ripken Jr HOF · At age 28 | 48.6 | 213 | — | 2× MVP |
Frank Robinson HOF · At age 28 | 52.4 | 268 | — | 2× MVP |
Mike Schmidt HOF · At age 28 | 42.6 | 188 | — | 3× MVP |
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THE Verdict
Will Rafael Devers make the Hall of Fame?
Devers's case sits in contested territory. The raw numbers are impressive but fall short of traditional HOF benchmarks. A sustained run of All-Star caliber seasons would shift the narrative significantly.
What is Rafael Devers's HOF Score?
Rafael Devers's current HOF Score is 67.7 out of 100, placing them in the “⚖ Borderline” tier. The score is calculated from 5 dimensions: Career Value (30%), Milestone Progress (25%), Awards & Selections (20%), Peak Performance (15%), and Longevity (10%).