✗ UnlikelyCALEB
CALEB
Ferguson
Hall of Fame Probability & HOF Score
Cincinnati Reds·P·Age 30·8th Season
Last updated: July 21, 2026
HOF Score
17.9
/ 100
▲ +0 this season
SCORE Breakdown
5 DimensionsCareer Value30% weight
Milestone Progress25% weight
Awards & Selections20% weight
Peak Performance15% weight
Longevity10% weight
SCORE History
By Season618
919
1020
1222
1423
1624
1725
1826
2018HOF Score by Season2026 ★ 18
WAR BY Season
2026
20 GP
2025
45 GP
2024
42 GP
2023
68 GP
2022
37 GP
2020
21 GP
2019
46 GP
2018
30 GP
MILESTONE Tracker
HALL OF FAME Comparisons
At Age 30| Player | WAR | W | ERA | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Caleb Ferguson Active · 2026 | 0.0 | 25 | 3.630 | 0× MVP |
Nolan Ryan HOF · At age 30 | 38.4 | 0 | 3.14 | 0× MVP |
Tony Gwynn HOF · At age 30 | 42.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0× MVP |
Willie Mays HOF · At age 30 | 56.8 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Hank Aaron HOF · At age 30 | 63.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 1× MVP |
Derek Jeter HOF · At age 30 | 44.8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0× MVP |
Cal Ripken Jr HOF · At age 30 | 64.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Frank Robinson HOF · At age 30 | 68.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Mike Schmidt HOF · At age 30 | 64.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 3× MVP |
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THE Verdict
Will Caleb Ferguson make the Hall of Fame?
Ferguson currently sits outside clear Hall of Fame consideration. An extended elite stretch — think multiple MVP-caliber seasons — would be needed to build a credible Cooperstown case.
What is Caleb Ferguson's HOF Score?
Caleb Ferguson's current HOF Score is 17.9 out of 100, placing them in the “✗ Unlikely” tier. The score is calculated from 5 dimensions: Career Value (30%), Milestone Progress (25%), Awards & Selections (20%), Peak Performance (15%), and Longevity (10%).